MODELING THE INFLUENCE SHADOW ECONOMY ON THE MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS UKRAINE

The presented work summarizes the arguments and counter-arguments within scientific discussion on construction of models impact shadow economy macroeconomic indicators country. level has a negative Ukraine's indicators. is covert / or non-covert economic activity whose purpose to intentionally forcibly generate excess profits due uncontrolled socio-economic relations. main study identify systematization literature sources approaches solving problem finding connection between shown that this quite relevant among scientists around world. research was carried out in following logical sequence: 1) acquaintance with basic concepts analysis sources; 2) formation input data set for further research; 3) verification anomalies; 4) calculation integrated indicator; 5) stationarity; 6) check multicollinearity; 7) correlation-regression analysis. methodological tools conducted were methods analysis, application Irwin criterion detect abnormal levels, Foster-Student method investigate stationarity time series, Ferrar-Glober algorithm multicollinearity array. period 2010-2021. Ukraine chosen as object research. presents results an empirical Ukraine, which showed exists strong. Based research, conclusions formulated about strong influence it theoretically proven more than 90% described by selected